Apr 26 2010

If the Financial Reform debate were a script

It would go like this:

Harry Reid: This Bill eliminates Too Big to Fail and Taxpayer Bailouts.

Barack Obama: It sure does, and it’s just what we need, right, Mitch McConnell?

Mitch McConnell: This bill guarantees Taxpayer bailouts.

Harry Reid: Um, no it doesn’t.

Mitch McConnell: What we don’t need to do right now is to overburden the financial industry with regulations.

Harry Reid: But then we’d be open to this happening again. We’d have solved nothing.

Mitch McConnell: Neener Neener.

Harry Reid: Well, let’s just get it out of committee.

Mitch McConnell: That bill was made behind closed doors with no input from Republicans.

Harry Reid: Um, there’s Republicans on that panel, and we took out provisions they didn’t like.

Mitch McConnell:This bill is unpopular.

Harry Reid: The polls say 66% of Americans support tough reforms so that this doesn’t happen again.

Mitch McConnell:The Senate is designed by our forefathers to be a body of great debate.

Harry Reid: Fine, let’s vote on cloture and then debate it on the full floor.

Mitch McConnell: We’ll philibuster.

Harry Reid: We’ll show the public how obstructionist you are.

Mitch McConnell: Uh, Uh…..(runs out of excuses)


Jul 30 2009

News Shots 07/30/09

It’s coming….

No word on who is holding this domain, but this is going to be fun.

Apparently 80% of us want to see it happen, too.

At least according to notoriously Republican newsmax. I have to admit, this might be accurate. She was worth it for comic relief, dividing the Republican base and ensuring a victory for us real people.

If only we could settle health care over a beer

Obama, Biden, the Harvard Prof and the cop talk it out over a bottle of suds. Biden apparently wore a ball gag to keep him quiet.

Then again, the Republicans would just argue over the brand of beer (and the mustard)

Come on guys. Get real.

Birther congress people run

Afraid to look like a loony on camera by supporting the Birther movement, and also afraid to deny it and lose supporters, Republican Congressmen run from the interviewer.

Where bailout money goes to die

Sure we’ve heard about some of the big firms that have paid off their bailouts, but what about the little ones that aren’t faring too well?

Fox news is good at jografy

Can you spot Egypt on the map? Hint: It isn’t where you’d normally put it.

AT&T charges a fee to get a discount

Figure that one out.

And finally:

Here’s a character for you: Spy, transvestite, messiah

Now that’s a trinity for you.

Maybe I could get more hits if I had more explosions in this blog


Feb 25 2009

News Haul 02-24-09

Why we hate executives pt1

Spansion, Inc. Cut 3,000 jobs, then restored executives to full pay. The laid off workers were given no severance pay. They make flash memory chips, and are failing. Hm. Go figure.

Why we hate executives pt 2 (And by association Chicago, Earth WInd and Fire and Cheryl Crow)

Northern Trust Bank, They received $1.6 billion in bailout bucks. This was part of sponsorship for a golf tournament, for which they paid out a good deal of the $6.3 million dollar purse. I have no problem with this, as the deal to promote it was probably inked long ago. The shows were probably booked as well, but could have been toned down.

While the stimulus bill was palatable, I’m not sure this spending bill is.

This might be a little too much for us to swallow right now. I really want to know what all is going into this one.

Now that I’ve heard the charges, Burris is Guilty.

I like the excuse, though. I’m not guilty because my fundraising efforts failed. Let’s see if that works in any other context: “You can’t convict me because I failed to murder him.” Not really.

Americans think GOP should drop ideology and work with Obama

But will they? No. As evidenced by this:

Michael Steele threatens to withhold money from the Republicans who voted for the stimulus package

Break from ideology and we’ll punish you. Well, Fuck you, Michael Steele. Hmmm…..maybe he’s actually an old white man in blackface.

The National debt had been crashing before the Reagan Revolution

That’s fiscal responsibility you can ruin a nation on…..

10 Republican senators who have been pursuing the same failed economic policies for 16 years

16 years ago, President Clinton began to balance the budget and pay off the deficit, and the Republicans unanimously voted against, saying it would be a drain on our economy (as if the interest on that deficit wouldn’t be). What followed was an era of prosperity. These 10 senators are still pursuing those same policies. Here’s the list:

Bennett (R-UT)
Bond (R-MO)
Cochran (R-MS)
Grassley (R-IA)
Gregg (R-NH)
Hatch (R-UT)
Hutchison (R-TX)
McCain (R-AZ)
McConnell (R-KY)
Shelby (D-AL, note: Shelby was supposedly a Democrat at the time. He switched parties shortly thereafter.)

A GOP Savant! Utah Governor accuses the GOP of gratuitous political griping

And that’s it.

Hey, if you guys happen to be musicians, you should check out my project, gearsecure.net, where we help musicians and music businesses recover stolen equipment. We are also on twitter

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Feb 8 2009

Libertarians are going hard at the Economy. Too Bad they're wrong.

Check out these two articles:

Economic Change We can Believe In

Commentary: Libertarian ideas to stimulate economy

Despite the fact that Libertarian policies are what caused this recession/depression/clusterfuck, Libertarians are hard at work marketing their brand of naive optimism for economic redemption. I’ve been planning a Johnny Article on Libertarians for a while. Let’s consider this a preview.

Our first article focuses on the corporate income tax, namely eliminating it. The corporate income tax, the article says, is up to 35% of the profits of a business. The main point of the article in our context is this:

Repeal means higher stock prices and improved cash flow. Corporations would respond to this change by investing in plant and equipment, and by hiring additional workers. These investments would be more productive than the ones funded by stimulus projects, since corporations respond to market forces, not to political influence. Since corporations could more easily invest out of retained earnings, repeal would also circumvent many banks’ reluctance to lend.

This is a big assumption. Let’s state it here and now, Libertairians are the Trekkies of the political sphere. They think that everything everyone does is altruistic and great for everyone. But our recent history shows us that increased profits don’t go to these things. They go to big bonuses, big offices, stock dividends, and corporate jets, the things that make companies feel like they have big penises. They also drag out the tired trickle down theory of economics saying that we’d all get a piece of this because we’d get better salaries and the money would be spent. Not true. As we saw this week, the top 1% of earners are making a larger percentage of GDP than anytime since 1928. Notice any parallels here?

The next important point they cite is this:

The budgetary impact of a corporate income tax repeal—roughly $300-350 billion per year—might seem daunting, but this amount falls well short of the Obama fiscal package. The long-run impact will be less than what is implied by current revenues, since repeal will expand economic activity and therefore increase other kinds of tax revenue.

Except that the math doesn’t hold out. The Obama fiscal package is a one-time expense that covers a couple years. It gives people jobs. If people have more money, they spend it on things, but we don’t make things anymore, and so the money goes overseas. Multiply the loss of revenue by a few years, and we’ve lost more than the Obama plan costs. We’re talking about economic multipliers here, and this doesn’t multiply out very well.

Let’s move on to our other article. It starts with the corporate income tax, then moves on. Point two is to increase the carbon tax while reducing other taxes.

The effective way to accomplish this is higher gasoline or other carbon taxes, not the messy, complicated green spending in the Obama plan that will morph into pork in many cases. If higher carbon taxes are combined with lower marginal tax rates, the private sector faces better incentives on both counts. This approach avoids the higher deficits implied by Obama’s green initiatives.

Well, who’s trying to win the popularity contest here? Not the Libertarians. Passing along the cost to us at the pump isn’t the most popular idea out there. It ranks right above reanimating Hitler, though I hear there’s a Republican Committee studying that idea right now. It’s funny how quickly anything green becomes pork, isn’t it? In the end, supporting green initiatives by direct spending creates more jobs faster, and creates a whole new sector of the economy that the Bush Administration left out to rot.

Moderate the Growth of Entitlements: The elephant in the room amidst the stimulus debate is the impending imbalance in Social Security and Medicare as the baby boom generation moves into retirement. Without reductions in benefits, taxes will have to increase substantially, generating a major drag on the U.S. economy.

Hmm, reducing benefits for the oldest and most vulnerable. This is why the Libertarian party doesn’t get elected. I’d support reducing benefits for the wealthy, but they’d probably chase me off their expansive manicured lawns with extreme prejudice. Social security and Medicare aren’t going anywhere. Find a better solution.

Eliminate Wasteful Spending: Most discussion of the stimulus focuses on areas where, according to proponents, government spending should be higher. Much current expenditure, however, is wasteful.

Examples include agricultural subsidies, bloated transportation projects like the Big Dig in Boston, misguided infrastructure projects like the New Orleans levees (why encourage people to live below sea level?), ineffective weapons systems, pork barrel spending, and subsidies for Amtrak and the Post Office (buses are more efficient than railways, and Fedex is more efficient than the Post Office).

Well, you’ve jumped on the say it don’t play it bandwagon. Both parties are guilty of saying “Cut wasteful spending” then funding pet projects with money that doesn’t exist. Let’s see, agricultural subsidies are necessary to keep farmers in business, but to be fair, they don’t react to market dynamics well. The Big Dig in Boston is more mismanaged (on a true big dig scale) than useless. The New Orleans Levees? You really don’t want to fund that? You never want to get elected, so you? Amtrak is more efficient, but made less so by poor rail maintenance due to underfunding and the lack of a bullet train line. Besides, have you ever been on a bus for any good distance? And Fedex is not more efficient, just more expensive to the consumer. Sometimes I don’t know what world these guys live in.

Also, earmarks make up a very small part of the budget. We’d be better off budgeting better, introducing a spending cap that once it’s gone, it’s gone, and actually showing some restraint.

Pork barrel spending. I’m so tried of this term. One man’s pork is an other’s steak, and an other’s bread and butter. Let’s put a new spin on that term: pork barrel is a label that has a point of view. We aren’t out buying pork barrels, we aren’t out just blowing money like the Monopoly guy. These projects are important to parties and recipients, and a target of jealousy for the opposition. Sure there’s some favoritism, there always is, but we can’t lose sight of the fact that pork barrel is a label made by opposition forces, and is irrelevant to the benefit of the program.

They move on to Getting out of Iraq and Afghanistan. Only people arguing about this is Republicans and defense contractors.

Limit Union powers. Hmm, Republicans, anyone? Unions are dumb. Let’s face it, they priced themselves out of the market, but without them, we’d have lower wages and few worker’s rights. Those things cost money and companies don’t hand that stuff out for free.

Renew the commitment to free trade. You mean like NAFTA? yeah, that worked out so well.

Expanding immigration on technical visas. Wow. They actually said something smart here. There are a limited number of these visas, and companies are forced to hire outside of the nation because we can’t produce enough smart people with our wonderful education system. There is a rush and a lottery every time visas open up, and the people that don’t get them wither work overseas, or find jobs with foreign companies.

And finally, stop bailing out business that, well, fucked up. This is nice but I’d hate to admit it, if we don’t save some more most of these companies, there is going to be a lot more chaos. And I know this is also too late and anti-Libertarian, but wouldn’t these companies and the rest of us have benefited by more oversight and regulations?

In short, Libertarians want to do all of the things that got us into this mess. Maybe they just want to finish the job.


Dec 20 2008

The Auto Bailout

As we look at the question of whether we should bail out the auto manufacturers, I think one thing has been proven: on the whole, they are as incompetent at business as the U.S. Government. First off, I have to say I believe a bailout will happen, and it is for the good of the greater beast, the U.S. economy.

Let’s look at some of the history of the auto industry and its own worst symbiotic enemy, the labor union. The two are like grade school brothers, forced to live under the same roof, but never able to get along, and always blaming the other for breaking the lamp on the end table. The union workers in the auto industry can make a good living. Some of the senior factory workers for the big three could make over $70,000 a year, and starting salary is over $30k. Particularly at the senior end of the scale, this is significantly higher than non-union workers, and those working in similar industries, or other auto manufacturers.  There are also pensions and continuing health care for retirees.

Let’s look at a previous collapse to see how damaging these labor contracts could be. Does anyone remember AMC? The brand who brought the Jeep off the WWII battlefield and into consumer use was based in Kenosha, WI, making a line of cars known for their ugliness and stripped down generic nature. My grandfather had one when I was little, a Concorde station wagon in metallic yellow brown from one of the last few production years, if I remember right.

The AMC union contract called for far higher wages than the other big three manufacturers. Burdened by these contracts, AMC found it could not sustain its workforce and it folded. Chrysler bought them out for the Jeep name, but production stopped and Kenosha, a town full of prosperous workers, suddenly found itself a welfare state. I wish the Republicans who cry about people living for generations on welfare could take an objective look at places like Kenosha, Flint and Detroit to find a lesson instead of complaining about Michael Moore’s bias and how the government is full of socialists, but don’t get me going on that one.

AMC’s union got greedy, its management caved easily in contract negotiations, and what looked like the best deal ever for the workers turned into no deal at all. Their greed made their wages exorbitantly over the scale for the work nationally, and the company fell. Remember, at this time, Toyota was selling compact Corollas and Nissan had only just left Datsun behind.

In more modern times, we had to start looking at the global labor market. Auto makers were smart to recognize the value of labor in Mexico, but not smart enough to realize that they were going destroy their own most loyal market by laying off workers. I think there was some overconfidence that imports would ever overtake the market. The labor unions were short sighted in not realizing that they were far more expensive than labor just over the border, and they never thought their workers were expendable.

Their contracts were top heavy, and they kept demanding more. Like a virus, they paid no attention to the health of the host organism, but just kept feeding. In order to pay these salaries, the big three neglected such pesky issues as R&D, and the quality and tech of their product suffered. I know from experience, my uncle worked for GMAC, and we had every  box of fail GM made throughout the 80’s and 90’s. This left a big door for imports to come in and open up the market, aided by an open import policy supported by Washington. The countries of origin for these cars didn’t have as friendly a policy, and so as a nation, we found our exports to be unable to compete, putting us at another disadvantage.

And this is where we stand.

Take a breath and think about this.

What we’re talking about is a market correction. In areas where the union is not strong like in the south, auto worker wages are competitive and the workforce is strong and until recently, flourishing. Transplant manufacturers like Toyota have similar pay scales, and similar success. The UAW continues to lose members to layoffs because they are overcompensated, and a burden on the big 3 manufacturers.

The UAW will have to back off the gains it made in order to survive, and in order not to kill off its host, the Big 3. The losses of jobs since the eighties are the direct result of plants closing due to high wages, and moving to Mexico. The result is that ironically, if you want to buy American, you can look towards Toyota and other transplants before you look to the Big 3.

This is the correction that needs to happen: the big 3 need to respond to the market and put out more hybrid and alternative energy vehicles. In order to do this, they need capital to invest in R&D, and the new tech needs to be manufactured in America at competitive but fair wages. The Government needs to bail out the companies, in a manner that will turn a profit for the government over time. The whole blank check era of government is over. The losses of jobs would turn this recession into a depression otherwise. The UAW is going to have to become realistic about its wages, its negotiations will have to be about market value rather than better than the last contract. The auto makers will also have to get better at these negotiations.

In this way we can make forward progress economically without long term cost to the taxpayers.